Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.027152 0.029112 0.031153 0.033441 0.035936 0.038580 0.041597
2025-06-29 0.023587 0.026330 0.029331 0.032869 0.036941 0.041498 0.047008
2025-07-06 0.021675 0.024948 0.028665 0.033225 0.038699 0.045102 0.053218
2025-07-13 0.020071 0.023671 0.027885 0.033220 0.039853 0.047902 0.058521
2025-07-20 0.018982 0.022860 0.027518 0.033584 0.041359 0.051110 0.064449
2025-07-27 0.017827 0.021852 0.026795 0.033387 0.042066 0.053267 0.069092
2025-08-03 0.016830 0.020956 0.026124 0.033168 0.042666 0.055252 0.073570
2025-08-10 0.015968 0.020169 0.025524 0.032967 0.043231 0.057168 0.078030
2025-08-17 0.015235 0.019496 0.025020 0.032840 0.043851 0.059154 0.082680
2025-08-24 0.014453 0.018712 0.024314 0.032377 0.043946 0.060367 0.086237
2025-08-31 0.013699 0.017925 0.023558 0.031788 0.043803 0.061193 0.089226
2025-09-07 0.013117 0.017340 0.023045 0.031504 0.044066 0.062606 0.093187
2025-09-14 0.012575 0.016793 0.022563 0.031244 0.044356 0.064086 0.097389
2025-09-21 0.011982 0.016146 0.021909 0.030694 0.044169 0.064809 0.100396
2025-09-28 0.011700 0.015925 0.021849 0.031015 0.045323 0.067684 0.107193
2025-10-05 0.011341 0.015577 0.021586 0.031010 0.045955 0.069748 0.112748
2025-10-12 0.011102 0.015393 0.021551 0.031344 0.047133 0.072762 0.120196
2025-10-19 0.010738 0.015008 0.021199 0.031163 0.047461 0.074365 0.125215
2025-10-26 0.010392 0.014634 0.020847 0.030961 0.047734 0.075881 0.130174
2025-11-02 0.010070 0.014285 0.020518 0.030776 0.048020 0.077422 0.135291
2025-11-09 0.009784 0.013979 0.020240 0.030659 0.048407 0.079155 0.140905
2025-11-16 0.009439 0.013571 0.019788 0.030234 0.048238 0.079871 0.144552
2025-11-23 0.009085 0.013137 0.019279 0.029692 0.047833 0.080128 0.147280